427
FNUS21 KWNS 220702
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2025
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
WEST TEXAS...
..SYNOPSIS
MODERATELY STRONG ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE US TODAY AND
TONIGHT. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND JET STREAK WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
ROCKIES, WHILE A SECOND TROUGH AND JET MOVE OVER THE APPALACHIANS.
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN AREAS OF DRY FUELS FROM
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE PIEDMONT AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE LIKELY ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN SD, WY, CO AND NE AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND STRONG
JET SHIFT SOUTHEAST. DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING SHOULD ALSO SUPPORT RH
VALUES BELOW 30% ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
ADDITIONALLY, WEAK SHOWERS AND VIRGA MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTS WITH
LITTLE WETTING RAINFALL POTENTIAL. ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS TO DEVELOP, GIVEN THE DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WITHIN DRYING FUELS.
..SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY
ALONG AND BEHIND A LEE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN NM AND WEST TX.
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW, AND THE SURFACE TROUGH, WILL ENHANCE
SURFACE WINDS TO 15-25 MPH, WITH THE STRONG GUSTS LIKELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EASTERN NM AND WEST TX. WITH WARM DIURNAL TEMPERATURES
IN THE 70S AND 80S, THE DRY DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND STRONG MIXING WILL
SUPPORT MIN RH VALUES OF 10-20%. WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
ADDITIONALLY, STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF OK AND
KS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH WITH MIN RH
OF 20-25% MAY SUPPORT A FEW HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER DRY FUELS. RETURNING MOISTURE SHOULD EVENTUALLY
LIMIT THE LOWER RH.
..APPALACHIANS
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON WITH DRY WESTERLY FLOW LIKELY IN ITS
WAKE. SUSTAINED WESTERLY, DOWNSLOPE WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH 10 TO 20 MPH HERE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY STRONGER
GUSTS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 20-25% IS LIKELY, WITHIN CRITICALLY DRY
FUELS. SEVERAL HOURS OF ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY GIVEN THE OVERLAP OF DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS AND LITTLE RECENT
RAINFALL WITHIN DRY FUELS.
..LYONS.. 03/22/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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