981
ACUS03 KWNS 220730
SWODY3
SPC AC 220729
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2025
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EAST TO PARTS OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
..SUMMARY
A FEW STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON, FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO SOUTHERN GEORGIA
AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
..SYNOPSIS
AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. MONDAY, WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW TO
ENCOMPASS THE EASTERN 3/4 OF THE COUNTRY BY TUESDAY MORNING.
AT THE SURFACE, AN OCCLUDED LOW OVER THE LAKE HURON VICINITY EARLY,
SHOULD WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD/ACROSS THE OTTAWA
VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. A TRAILING COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND GULF COAST REGION,
WHILE LINGERING OVER, AND EVENTUALLY RETREATING NORTHWARD ACROSS,
TEXAS.
...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
AS THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF COAST MONDAY,
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE
BOUNDARY TO SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. LAPSE RATES
ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE PARTICULARLY STEEP, WHICH WILL LIMIT
INSTABILITY, AND FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN FROM
WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION WITH TIME AS THE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS
EASTWARD. STILL, AMPLE CAPE/SHEAR MAY REMAIN PRESENT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION AND VICINITY TO SUPPORT LOCAL RISK FOR
MARGINAL HAIL AND OR STRONG WIND GUSTS DURING MAINLY THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.
..GOSS.. 03/22/2025
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