142
ACUS03 KWNS 221915
SWODY3
SPC AC 221913
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2025
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
..SUMMARY
A FEW STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON, FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO SOUTHERN GEORGIA
AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
..SOUTHEAST LA TO SOUTHWEST GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE GOING NEAR A SURFACE COLD
FRONT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION MONDAY
MORNING AS REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ACROSS THE LOWER MS AND
TN VALLEYS. AS AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS
THE EASTERN U.S., DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY
WEAKEN FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY. AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESSING
COLD FRONT. HOWEVER, LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODEST
THROUGH AT LEAST 700 MB, LIMITING STRONGER INSTABILITY.
NEVERTHELESS, SUFFICIENT MLCAPE AND SHEAR WILL EXIST TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
..LEITMAN.. 03/22/2025
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