997
FNUS22 KWNS 250715
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2025
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
..SYNOPSIS
LARGE-SCALE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY OVER THE WESTERN US AS
A SUBTLE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH SLIDES UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE. WEAK ASCENT WILL OVERSPREAD PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST AS MODEST
MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE WEST. THIS MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ATOP DRY FUELS IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST.
..PARTS OF NM
AS THE WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWEST, MODEST
ASCENT AND EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL NM TO
WESTERN TX. AT THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE MOIST PLUME, PWAT VALUES
LESS THAN 0.75 INCHES WILL OVERLAP WITH SUFFICIENTLY STEEP LOW AND
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO SUPPORT HIGH-BASED STORMS WITH POOR
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY. DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES APPEAR LIKELY OVER
VERY RECEPTIVE FUELS GIVEN THE HIGH-BASED NATURE OF ANY CONVECTION
THAT FORMS. AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDER AREA HAS BEEN ADDED ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM WHERE BEST OVERLAP OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
AND DRY FUELS SHOULD EXIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS WED.
..APPALACHIANS
ANOTHER DAY OF DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD WITH
DOWNSLOPE FLOW LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN VA AND THE CAROLINAS.
WHILE SURFACE WINDS MAY NOT BE OVERLY STRONG (GENERALLY LESS THAN 15
MPH), ISOLATED GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION,
AFTERNOON RH SHOULD FALL BELOW 25%. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
CONSIDERABLE SPREAD REGARDING THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL COVERAGE OF
ANY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY DEVELOP. A FEW HOURS
OF LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT
UNCERTAIN.
..LYONS.. 03/25/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page