674
FNUS21 KWNS 251700
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2025
VALID 251700Z - 261200Z
..APPALACHIANS
SOME EXPANSION HAS BEEN MADE TO THE ELEVATED AREA IN THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS VICINITY, BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONAL AND
GUIDANCE TRENDS. SUSTAINED WINDS APPROACHING 15 MPH AT TIMES
COMBINED WITH RH NEAR/BELOW 30% WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS. SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE
INFORMATION.
..NORTHERN PLAINS
AN ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN ADDED FROM SOUTHWEST ND INTO EASTERN SD.
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS (WITH WINDS NEAR/ABOVE 20 MPH AND RH
DROPPING TO NEAR/BELOW 30%) WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE FUELS ARE DRY.
..DEAN.. 03/25/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0213 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD UPPER CYCLONE WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN US AS RIDGING
INTENSIFIES ACROSS THE EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE CENTRAL US AND APPALACHIANS.
AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OVER THE PLAINS,
AS A SECONDARY FRONT MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. DRY CONDITIONS AND OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS COULD
PROMOTE SOME ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..NORTHERN PLAINS
BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL US, GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SD AND NE. A FEW HOURS OF DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH RH BELOW 30% AND WIND GUSTS OF
20-25 MPH. WHILE THE OVERLAP OF DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE
BRIEF, AREA FUELS ARE DRY AND COULD SUPPORT SOME LOCALIZED
FIRE-WEATHER RISK.
..APPALACHIANS
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING OVER THE EASTERN US AND APPALACHIANS,
A FEW HOURS OF GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. PRE-FRONTAL
WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO NEAR 25%.
THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR MORE SUSTAINED ELEVATED CONDITIONS
APPEARS TO BE ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN NC/SC WHERE WINDS AND LOWER
HUMIDITY MAY BETTER OVERLAP WITH RECENT FIRE ACTIVITY AND DRIER
FUELS GIVEN RECENT RAINFALL.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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