837
FNUS21 KWNS 280704
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0203 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL ENCOMPASS THE WESTERN CONUS, WHILE
AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH (ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATE
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MIDLEVEL FLOW) ADVANCES EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES. DEEP BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING INTO THE
STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT WILL YIELD 10-15 PERCENT RH AND BREEZY
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NM INTO SOUTHERN CO.
AS A RESULT, ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. A SEPARATE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS, WHILE A RELATED SURFACE TROUGH
DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WEST OF THE SURFACE TROUGH,
DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND A MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF NE INTO SD -- WHERE ELEVATED
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
FARTHER EAST, BREEZY EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
FL PENINSULA -- ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN EXPANSIVE
SURFACE HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. OVER PORTIONS OF
WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FL, A WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND THE
BREEZY/GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS -- GIVEN VERY DRY FUELS OVER THE AREA. OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY, MODESTLY BREEZY
SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AND AROUND 25-30 PERCENT RH MAY SUPPORT
LOCALIZED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS DURING THE AFTERNOON; HOWEVER,
MARGINAL SURFACE WINDS AND RH CAST UNCERTAINTY ON THE OVERALL
LARGE-FIRE RISK -- PRECLUDING HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
..WEINMAN.. 03/28/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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