647
FNUS22 KWNS 291934
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST (SEE BELOW) REMAINS GENERALLY ON TRACK. THE
PRIMARY CHANGE MADE TO THIS OUTLOOK WAS TO EXPAND CRITICAL
PROBABILITIES INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO. HERE, THE LATEST
GUIDANCE CONSENSUS SHOWS 20-25 MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS,
OVERLAPPING WITH 10-15 PERCENT RH AND DRY FUELS, NECESSITATING THIS
NORTHWARD CRITICAL EXPANSION.
DRY, LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY ALSO DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON PEAK
HEATING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC, THOUGH THESE CONDITIONS
APPEAR TOO BRIEF TO WARRANT ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS THIS OUTLOOK.
..SQUITIERI.. 03/29/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0130 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A BELT OF STRONG MIDLEVEL WESTERLY FLOW WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON,
WHILE A LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
..SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS TRANS-PECOS
DURING THE AFTERNOON, DEEP BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING WILL EXTEND INTO
THE BASE OF THE STRONG MIDLEVEL JET STREAK. THIS, COUPLED WITH A
MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT PERIPHERAL TO THE LEE CYCLONE/TROUGH, WILL
FAVOR 20-25 MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS (WITH HIGHER GUSTS)
AMID SINGLE-DIGIT TO LOWER TEENS RH. GIVEN DRY/RECEPTIVE FUELS
ACROSS THE AREA, CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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