377
ACUS11 KWNS 061038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061037
ALZ000-MSZ000-061230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0424
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0537 AM CDT SUN APR 06 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...LPARTS OF SERN MS INTO CNTRL AL
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 130...131...
VALID 061037Z - 061230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 130, 131 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STORMS OVERSPREADING AREAS NEAR/NORTHEAST OF PINE BELT MS
INTO AREAS NEAR/SOUTH OF TUSCALOOSA AL WILL POSE A RISK FOR
PRODUCING ADDITIONAL TORNADOES THROUGH 7-8 AM CDT.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL MESO-BETA TO MESO-GAMMA SCALE CIRCULATIONS HAVE
EVOLVED ALONG THE GUST FRONT SLOWLY ADVANCING EASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI, WITH 2-HOURLY SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS IN
EXCESS OF 2 MB NOTED ON THE PINE BELT MS SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. A COUPLE OF THESE CIRCULATIONS APPEAR TO HAVE
BRIEFLY INTENSIFIED TO TORNADIC STRENGTH, BASED ON STORM-RELATIVE
VELOCITY DATA AND DEBRIS SIGNATURES. SUPPORTED BY SOUTHEASTERLY
UPDRAFT INFLOW EMANATING FROM A NARROW CORRIDOR OF MODERATELY LARGE
CAPE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
ALABAMA (WHERE SURFACE DEW POINTS REMAIN NEAR 70F), IT APPEARS THAT
THIS ACTIVITY MAY MAINTAIN STRENGTH WHILE GRADUALLY SPREADING
EASTWARD THROUGH 11-13Z.
INTENSIFICATION OF ONE OR TWO ADDITIONAL DISCRETE CELLS JUST AHEAD
OF THE LINE ALSO APPEARS POSSIBLE NEAR/EAST TO NORTHEAST OF PINE
BELT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS, ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE A TORNADO IN THE PRESENCE OF SIZABLE CLOCKWISE-CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS.
..KERR.. 04/06/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 33038780 32928752 32328758 31108911 31098959 31758903
32268867 33038780
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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