711
ACUS11 KWNS 071840
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071839
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-072015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CDT MON APR 07 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN
SOUTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 133...
VALID 071839Z - 072015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 133 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AND OCCASIONAL WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SHIFT
EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON ON WEAK CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW, AS THE STORMS
SPREAD INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED
INTO THE LOW-MID 80S WITH 64-70 F DEWPOINTS. WIND PROFILES HAVE
BECOME MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL/SOUTHWESTERLY WITH TIME, AND FORCING FOR
ASCENT IS RELATIVELY MODEST WELL DOWNSTREAM FROM THE POSITIVE-TILT
MIDLEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
APPEARS TO BE TRANSITIONING MORE TO OCCASIONAL WIND DAMAGE WITH
SHORT BOWING SEGMENTS, THOUGH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE.
..THOMPSON.. 04/07/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 29748334 29788378 29998394 30668319 31378271 32068195
33198077 32798045 30668216 29748334
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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