436
ACUS11 KWNS 102045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102045
TNZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-102245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0442
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT THU APR 10 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TENNESSEE...NORTHERN GEORGIA...EXTREME
WESTERN CAROLINAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 102045Z - 102245Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS, A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE, ARE LIKELY
TO AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA AND EASTERN TENNESSEE, AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE FAR WESTERN CAROLINAS BY EARLY EVENING.
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS TN, BENEATH THE
COOLER MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES. MEANWHILE, A MIDLEVEL CLOUD BAND HAS
MOVED OUT OF THE REGION, ALLOWING HEATING BEHIND. GIVEN THIS
EXPECTED DESTABILIZATION VIA HEATING AND ADVECTION OUT OF THE WEST,
CELLS MOVING INTO THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG OR
SEVERE, PRODUCING HAIL AND LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS. THE GREATEST RISK
OF DAMAGING HAIL WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN AREAS, INCLUDING NORTHERN GA,
WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SUBSTANTIALLY AND LAPSE RATES ARE
QUITE STEEP.
..JEWELL/GLEASON.. 04/10/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...
LAT...LON 33858534 34798555 35278534 35838515 36238490 36508420
36538299 36438240 36048216 35258250 34328322 33618497
33858534
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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