561  
ACUS11 KWNS 260002  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 260001  
TXZ000-NMZ000-260200-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0563  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0701 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TEXAS INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 173...  
 
VALID 260001Z - 260200Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 173  
CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE  
ACROSS WW 173 INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.  
 
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN AN ENVIRONMENT LARGELY  
CHARACTERIZED BY STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR  
SPLITTING SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE  
MOST ROBUST OF THESE SUPERCELLS IS A LEFT SPLIT THAT HAS MOVED  
NORTHWARD INTO WW 172, BUT ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP  
ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE TRANS-PECOS MOUNTAINS. SHORT TERM  
FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIE DOWN AFTER  
SUNSET, THOUGH AMPLE BUOYANCY AND SHEAR ALONG WITH A WESTWARD  
RETREATING DRYLINE COULD RESULT IN SOME LINGERING AFTER-DARK THREAT.  
 
..HALBERT.. 04/26/2025  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 
ATTN...WFO...MAF...  
 
LAT...LON 30690456 31170481 32250478 32600459 32800416 32830353  
32730292 32420256 31900241 31290252 30790270 30510292  
30510378 30490421 30690456  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN  
 
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