774  
FNUS21 KWNS 271638  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1138 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2025  
 
VALID 271700Z - 281200Z  
 
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW  
MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...  
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INTO  
FAR WEST TEXAS...  
   
..SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY
 
 
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE ADDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN  
PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY WHERE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WITHIN A  
POST-FRONTAL REGIME IS ONGOING. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING INTO THE  
25-35 PERCENT RANGE ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE  
WINDS SUBSIDE LATE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS WAS  
SPOTTY SO POCKETS OF RECEPTIVE FUELS REMAIN, PRIMARILY IN THE NEW  
JERSEY PINELANDS.  
   
..SOUTHWEST AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS
 
 
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT REMAINS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WITH  
SWATH OF EXTREMELY CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF  
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE EXTENDED  
INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN UTAH AND FAR WESTERN COLORADO TO ACCOUNT FOR  
SOME LOWER ELEVATION RECEPTIVE FUELS. OTHERWISE, PREVIOUS FORECAST  
(SEE BELOW) REMAINS ON TRACK.  
 
..WILLIAMS.. 04/27/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0109 AM CDT SUN APR 27 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH TRANSLATING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST,  
AND A LEE CYCLONE DEEPENING OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, STRONG  
SURFACE WINDS AND DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING ARE FORECAST ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. CRITICAL TO  
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH  
OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO, INTO PORTIONS OF FAR WEST TEXAS.  
 
   
..CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS
 
 
WIDESPREAD 30+ MPH WINDS AND 5-10% RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS ANTICIPATED  
OVER MUCH OF SOUTHERN, CENTRAL, AND EVEN PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW  
MEXICO. WHILE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FURTHER EAST  
OF THE CURRENT HIGHLIGHTS, RECENT WETTING RAINFALL IN EASTERN NEW  
MEXICO OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL SERVE TO LIMIT THE  
RECEPTIVENESS OF FUELS TO WILDFIRE IGNITION AND SPREAD. THEREFORE,  
CRITICAL AND EXTREMELY CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO  
WHERE FUELS GUIDANCE SHOWS ERCS EXCEEDING THE 90TH ANNUAL  
PERCENTILE, PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.  
   
..EASTERN COLORADO
 
 
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED OVER EASTERN COLORADO,  
WHERE DORMANT/FINE FUELS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE RECEPTIVE TO WILDFIRE  
IGNITION AND SPREAD WITH AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 10%  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND 15-20 MPH WINDS. SOME RECENT WETTING RAINFALL  
HAS OCCURRED ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO, WITH AREAS RECEIVING 0.75-2.0  
INCHES OF RAINFALL IN THE LAST 48 HOURS. THE ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS IN  
THIS UPDATE REFLECT THE DRIEST AREAS RECEIVING LITTLE TO NO  
RAINFALL.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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