994
ACUS11 KWNS 290336
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290335
MIZ000-WIZ000-290500-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST WISCONSIN...SOUTHERN U.P. OF MICHIGAN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 185...
VALID 290335Z - 290500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 185 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG-SEVERE CONVECTION WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN. NEW
WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...A LONG-LIVED ELONGATED MCS IS PROGRESSING
EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS WI. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS STRUGGLED TO
GENERATE MORE THAN ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL, THOUGH ONE
NOTABLE SUPERCELL IS TRACKING ALONG THIS CORRIDOR OVER
LANGLADE/MENOMINEE COUNTY. LATEST VWP DATA FROM GRB EXHIBITS INTENSE
0-3KM SRH AS A STRONG LLJ IS FOCUSED ACROSS IA INTO THIS PORTION OF
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. WHILE SOME TORNADO RISK CONTINUES, ESPECIALLY
WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS, THE PRIMARY CONCERN GOING FORWARD APPEARS
TO BE WIND/HAIL. LATEST RADAR DATA SUPPORTS A STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME AS NUMEROUS ELEVATED STORMS EXTEND
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.P. OF MI. AT THIS TIME A NEW WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE U.P., BUT SOME RISK FOR HAIL MAY
BE NOTED, ESPECIALLY OVER MENOMINEE COUNTY MI.
..DARROW.. 04/29/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
LAT...LON 45328916 46058693 45058671 44478899 45328916
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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