316
ACUS11 KWNS 290806
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290806
TXZ000-OKZ000-291000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0598
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 290806Z - 291000Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE GUST MAY OCCUR FROM NORTHWEST TEXAS
INTO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. THE SITUATION MAY NOT REQUIRE
A WATCH.
DISCUSSION...AN MCS IS RAPIDLY MOVING EASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST TX,
WITH SEVERAL GUSTS OVER 50 KT RECENTLY. RADAR INDICATES THE LEADING
EDGE OF THIS CONVECTIVE LINE REMAINS STRONG AND WELL BALANCED. GIVEN
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM, IT IS EXPECTED THIS SYSTEM
WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. HOWEVER, LONGEVITY MAY ALSO
DEPEND ON CAPPING. AT THE VERY LEAST, ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS MAY
OCCUR. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
..JEWELL/MOSIER.. 04/29/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...
LAT...LON 34309996 34709984 34819944 34939822 34759773 34489756
34019759 33569772 33399840 33180004 33270030 34309996
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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