664
ACUS11 KWNS 291052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291052
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-291345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0599
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0552 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...FAR SOUTHEAST
KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 186...
VALID 291052Z - 291345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 186
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALLY SEVERE GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM CENTRAL INTO
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
DISCUSSION...THE LEADING EDGE OF A SMALL MCS WHICH MOVED OUT OF
NORTHWEST TX AND PIVOTED INTO SOUTHWEST OK CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
MEASURED SEVERE GUSTS, MOST RECENTLY IN GRADY COUNTY AS OF 1030Z.
NORTH OF THIS AREA, STORMS HAVE GRADUALLY INCREASED ALONG THE COLD
FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST KS INTO NORTH-CENTRAL OK. THIS LINE
OF STORMS IS ALSO BEGINNING TO PRODUCE OUTFLOW AS WELL.
AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS REMAINS AHEAD OF BOTH CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS, AND
IT APPEARS THESE STORMS WILL MERGE FROM CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST OK.
DAMAGING GUSTS WILL REMAIN THE MOST LIKELY THREAT, ALTHOUGH HAIL OF
1.00+" IS LIKELY IN THE STRONGER STORM CORES.
..JEWELL/MOSIER.. 04/29/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 36179771 36679683 37129590 37279534 37379454 37129419
36239417 34799667 34669735 35089757 35359796 35729808
35979802 36179771
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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