595
ACUS11 KWNS 302331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302330
ILZ000-MOZ000-010100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0626
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT WED APR 30 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI REGION
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 200...
VALID 302330Z - 010100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 200 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SOME TORNADO THREAT EXISTS WITH SMALL SUPERCELLS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI REGION THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EJECTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
OZARKS. THIS FEATURE APPEARS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR MAINTAINING THE
NORTHERN END OF A LARGER MCS THAT IS PROPAGATING ACROSS SOUTHERN MO.
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS FOCUSED INTO THIS REGION AND SCATTERED
SMALL SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY MCS PRECIP
SHIELD FROM TEXAS COUNTY TO MADISON COUNTY. THIS ACTIVITY IS LIFTING
NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF WW200. LATEST RADAR
DATA SUPPORTS THIS WITH WITH SEVERAL UPDRAFTS EXHIBITING ROTATION
AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. A BRIEF WEAK TORNADO THREAT IS POSSIBLE
WITH THESE SUPERCELLS AS THEY ADVANCE DOWNSTREAM.
..DARROW.. 04/30/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...
LAT...LON 37669205 38429075 38008949 37059009 36769164 37669205
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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