904
ACUS11 KWNS 010410
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010410
TXZ000-010545-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0630
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 PM CDT WED APR 30 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EAST TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202...
VALID 010410Z - 010545Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 202
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THREAT CONTINUES WITH CONVECTION THIS
EVENING. SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WANE AND A NEW WW IS
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER AN EXT COULD BE WARRANTED FOR AN
HOUR OR SO.
DISCUSSION...SOUTHERN INFLUENCE OF SOUTHERN PLAINS SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
APPEARS TO BE AIDING SOUTHWESTERN FLANK OF ELONGATED MCS. LATEST
RADAR DATA SUGGESTS SEVERAL ROBUST UPDRAFTS CONTINUE TO GENERATE
HAIL, ESPECIALLY OVER WILLIAMSON/MILAM COUNTY JUST NORTHEAST OF
AUSTIN. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST AS THE PRIMARY
SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY SAGS INTO THIS PORTION OF TX. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.
..DARROW.. 05/01/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 30859738 30869627 31389533 31999465 31739402 30919439
30259614 30319723 30599774 30859738
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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