370
ACUS11 KWNS 021803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021802
KYZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-INZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-022000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0649
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0102 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...TN TO OH VALLEYS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209...213...
VALID 021802Z - 022000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209, 213
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SPORADIC LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS A BROAD SWATH FROM THE TENNESSEE TO
THE OHIO VALLEYS. DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY BE GREATER ACROSS THE
KENTUCKY PORTION IN THE NEAR-TERM AND IN MIDDLE TO EASTERN TENNESSEE
LATER.
DISCUSSION...A MESSY OVERALL CONVECTIVE MODE HAS PERSISTED WITH
SEVERAL CONVECTIVE BANDS AND DISCRETE CELLS ACROSS A BROAD SWATH OF
THE DEEP TO MID-SOUTH. LOW-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN WEAK TO MODEST ACROSS
MUCH OF THESE REGIONS, WITH NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL MODERATE MID-LEVEL
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLIES. ONE EXCEPTION HAS BEEN WITH THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAND IN WESTERN KY WHERE HPX VWP DATA SAMPLED A 40-45
KT REAR-INFLOW JET. SOUTHERN ACTIVITY SHOULD BE DOMINATED BY
SPORADIC LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL IN THE NEAR-TERM, BEFORE GREATER
AMALGAMATION INTO LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OCCURS. THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT INCREASING WIND POTENTIAL SOUTH OF KY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
..GRAMS.. 05/02/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...ILN...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...
PAH...MEG...JAN...
LAT...LON 35518433 34318518 33898643 33628760 33688842 34598834
35558737 36568707 37588733 38108705 38608573 38548480
38368410 38028353 35518433
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page