019
ACUS11 KWNS 022004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022003
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-022200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0654
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH AL...FAR NORTHWEST GA...FAR SOUTHEAST TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209...213...214...
VALID 022003Z - 022200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209, 213,
214 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A MIX OF MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG TO ISOLATED
SEVERE GUSTS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS MAINLY NORTHERN ALABAMA
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
DISCUSSION...YET ANOTHER LINE SEGMENT HAS CONSOLIDATED, THIS TIME
ALONG THE MS/AL BORDER AREA, GENERALLY ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SCATTERED CONVECTIVE SWATHS OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND TN VALLEY.
WITH LOW TO MID 80S SURFACE TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THIS LINE AT PEAK
MIXING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER, POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE GUSTS
(55-70 MPH) SHOULD MAINLY SPREAD ACROSS NORTH AL THROUGH EARLY
EVENING. RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM KHSV AND KCBM HAVE
MEASURED 48 KT GUSTS. SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL CORES WILL
REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE AND IN ADDITIONAL CELLS THAT CAN
REDEVELOP ATOP THE LARGE-SCALE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS, ACROSS FAR NORTH
AL AND NORTH GA. AREAS FARTHER NORTH-NORTHWEST IN MIDDLE TN APPEAR
TO BE WELL STABILIZED.
..GRAMS.. 05/02/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...JAN...
LAT...LON 34718772 33958795 33498839 32908824 32688793 32818707
33618607 34088519 34358501 34718497 35018502 35188532
35168574 35148621 34808763 34718772
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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