258
ACUS11 KWNS 052011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052011
FLZ000-052215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0699
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 224...
VALID 052011Z - 052215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 224
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED SEVERE
GUSTS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TO MID EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CELLS ACROSS SOUTHEAST FL HAVE SOMEWHAT
WEAKENED AFTER EARLIER PRODUCING LARGE HAIL REPORTED UP TO PING-PONG
BALL SIZE. THIS ACTIVITY MAY STILL PRODUCE MARGINAL HAIL/WIND AS
STORMS OSCILLATE IN THE NEAR-TERM. LARGE-SCALE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW
HAS SURGED SOUTH AND WEST, POTENTIALLY SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT IN THE INTERIOR PENINSULA INTO EARLY EVENING.
FARTHER NORTH, THE MELBOURNE VWP HAS CONSISTENTLY SAMPLED AROUND
40-45 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN
SUBDUED TO AN EXTENT, ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY YET FORM ALONG THE
ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE TO THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. AMPLE BUOYANCY
WILL FAVOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS.
..GRAMS.. 05/05/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28838091 27758041 26858008 26008011 25618026 25468071
25458099 26458127 26738137 27488111 27968108 28328119
28388156 28518187 28828141 28838091
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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