992
FNUS22 KWNS 191901
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
THE MAIN CHANGE MADE TO THE DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK UPDATE WAS TO
ADD ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS TO PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA. HERE, DEEP-LAYER
EASTERLY FLOW NORTH OF BOTH A SURFACE LOW, AND DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL
CYCLONE OVER THE MIDWEST, WILL ENCOURAGE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
BY AFTERNOON. 15-20 MPH SUSTAINED EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
COINCIDE WITH 20-30 PERCENT RH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES,
SUPPORTING ELEVATED CONDITIONS ATOP FUELS THAT ARE AT LEAST
MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF WILDFIRE SPREAD.
ACROSS THE REST OF THE CONUS, THE PREVIOUS FORECAST (SEE BELOW)
REMAINS ON TRACK.
..SQUITIERI.. 05/19/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0200 AM CDT MON MAY 19 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT ADVANCES EASTWARD INTO THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS ON TUESDAY. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS
SYSTEM, DRY/BREEZY POST-FRONTAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS
OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HOWEVER, PRECEDING RAINFALL AND A MARGINAL
SPATIAL OVERLAP OF THE BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RH SHOULD LIMIT THE
OVERALL FIRE-WEATHER RISK. BROAD/ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, THOUGH SURFACE WINDS WILL WEAKEN COMPARED TO
MONDAY, AS THE STRONGEST MIDLEVEL FLOW SHIFTS EASTWARD WITH THE
MIDLEVEL TROUGH.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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