601
ACUS11 KWNS 212215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212214
GAZ000-FLZ000-212345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0924
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0514 PM CDT WED MAY 21 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 212214Z - 212345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD
OCCUR WITH A COUPLE ISOLATED STORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A COUPLE ISOLATED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN GA -- IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA. THESE STORMS ARE TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN
FL -- WHERE EARLIER HEATING OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER (MIDDLE 70S
DEWPOINTS) HAS YIELDED MODERATE SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. GIVEN
30-40 KT OF MIDLEVEL WESTERLY FLOW SAMPLED BY THE JAX VWP, THESE
CELLS MAY CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT MARGINAL/TRANSIENT SUPERCELL
CHARACTERISTICS -- AND LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
..WEINMAN/HART.. 05/21/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 30808329 30968239 30908196 30728181 30478183 30258215
30148274 30128301 30238341 30598347 30808329
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page