546
ACUS11 KWNS 242031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242031
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-242200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0955
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL MS AND FAR NORTHEAST LA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 317...
VALID 242031Z - 242200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 317
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD WITH A RISK FOR
DAMAGING GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
DISCUSSION...ACROSS WW317, GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OF THE PRIOR LINE
OF STORMS HAS BEEN NOTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUED SEVERE RISK WITH MODERATE TO LARGE
BUOYANCY AND 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. THIS SUGGESTS THE SEVERE
THREAT WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD WITH A PRIMARY RISK FOR DAMAGING
GUSTS. THIS IS WELL CORROBORATED BY RECENT REPORTS OF DAMAGING GUSTS
ACROSS MS AND LA. SOME ISOLATED HAIL MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE LINE ALONG THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE. GIVEN THE BROADLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND
ORGANIZED LINE, THE SEVERE RISK WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF WW317
INTO THIS EVENING.
..LYONS.. 05/24/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...SHV...
LAT...LON 32269211 32869098 33928994 33808847 32728832 31888849
31829078 31909142 32269211
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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