593
ACUS11 KWNS 260242
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260241
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-260415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0983
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0941 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL MS INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN AL AND FAR
NORTHWEST GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 324...328...
VALID 260241Z - 260415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 324, 328
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE-STORM POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE EVENING.
DISCUSSION...A SMALL BOWING SEGMENT HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN AL
LATE THIS EVENING, ACCOMPANIED BY RATHER STRONG FLOW ALOFT FROM THE
KHTX RADAR. THIS BOWING SEGMENT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS A REGION
INFLUENCED BY OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION, AND BOTH LOW-LEVEL
FLOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG, SO LONGEVITY
OF THIS SYSTEM AND ITS RELATED SEVERE POTENTIAL ARE UNCERTAIN. IN
THE SHORT-TERM, DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THIS SYSTEM
SURGES EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN AL. DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE IS
POSSIBLE IF IT APPEARS THIS BOWING SEGMENT WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE
POTENTIAL AS IT APPROACHES NORTHWEST GA.
FARTHER SOUTHWEST, AN EXTENSIVE QLCS IS SURGING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL MS, WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS SURGE APPROACHING AN
ONGOING SUPERCELL WEST OF TUSCALOOSA. THE LEADING SUPERCELL WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS IN THE
SHORT TERM, AND SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL CANNOT BE RULED OUT,
ESPECIALLY IF/WHEN IT MERGES INTO THE LARGER QLCS. OTHERWISE, THE
DAMAGING-WIND THREAT MAY INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL AL WITH TIME AS THE
QLCS MOVES ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING.
..DEAN/MOSIER.. 05/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 33418821 33508806 33928734 34418699 34728693 34778622
34738570 34558511 34058492 33488508 32868550 32548586
32238884 32348931 32718955 33038887 33418821
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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