146
ACUS11 KWNS 260742
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260742
TXZ000-260915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0987
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329...
VALID 260742Z - 260915Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE/LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTH/NORTHEAST TX IN THE SHORT TERM. SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD
PERSIST OUTSIDE OF WW 329 AND TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
POSSIBLE DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...AN ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY MOVING
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE METROPLEX, AND A FEW SEVERE GUSTS HAVE
BEEN NOTED OVER THE PAST HOUR. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE KEEPING PACE
WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF OUTFLOW, LIKELY IN PART DUE TO A 25-30 KT
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET FEEDING INTO THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.
DOWNSTREAM, A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH LITTLE INHIBITION IS
PLACE. IF OUTFLOW DOES NOT SURGE TOO FAR AHEAD OF THE ONGOING LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC SEVERE/DAMAGING GUSTS
COULD PERSIST INTO PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED
AND LOCAL WATCH EXTENSIONS OR A NEW DOWNSTREAM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
..LEITMAN.. 05/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...
LAT...LON 33369597 32699493 31979445 31619484 31449549 31289634
31469717 31779758 32329783 32779794 33149795 33359751
33459657 33369597
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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