299
ACUS11 KWNS 262100
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262100
TXZ000-262200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0995
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 331...
VALID 262100Z - 262200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 331 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR ALL HAZARDS CONTINUES. GIANT HAIL (3-4 INCH)
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...ACROSS TORNADO WATCH #331, SEVERAL SUPERCELLS HAVE
DEVELOPED AND MATURED NEAR THE MODIFIED OUTFLOW. ADDITIONAL STORMS
WERE DEVELOPING EAST OF THE DRYINE ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION. THE
OVERALL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS VERY FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS
WITH EXTREME BUOYANCY (4500 J/KG OF MLCAPE) AND 50+ KT OF EFFECTIVE
SHEAR. AS STORMS CONTINUE TO PERSIST NEAR THE BOUNDARY, GIANT HAIL
(3-4 INCHES), DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES REMAIN
POSSIBLE. THIS APPEARS ESPECIALLY LIKELY WITH THE LARGE SUPERCELL
CURRENTLY IN CONCHO AND MENARD COUNTIES. THE GENERAL SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
..LYONS.. 05/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 29660073 30200117 31600168 32060141 32120037 31729883
30629798 28969787 28789839 28820041 29660073
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN
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