281
ACUS11 KWNS 262232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262232
TXZ000-270030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0996
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0532 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 331...
VALID 262232Z - 270030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 331 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE HAIL/WIND AND TORNADOES WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN EDWARDS PLATEAU AND
HILL COUNTRY VICINITY WITH AN EMERGING MCS.
DISCUSSION...INTENSE SUPERCELLS HAVE PRODUCED AT LEAST A COUPLE
REPORTED TORNADOES, EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES, AND
MEASURED SEVERE WIND GUSTS TO 73 MPH. THE LATTER OCCURRED AT THE
MENARD WTM SITE AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES FELL INTO THE UPPER 50S
WITHIN A STRENGTHENING COLD POOL. AN INTENSE LEADING SUPERCELL IS
ONGOING OVER MASON COUNTY AND WILL HAVE THE BEST OPPORTUNITY TO
PRODUCE TORNADOES IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING IMMEDIATELY EASTWARD, SUGGESTIVE OF THE
WELL-ADVERTISED UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS THIS EVENING ALONG THE
LARGE-SCALE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW ARCING TO MATAGORDA BAY. THIS MCS
SHOULD INITIALLY REMAIN SLOW-MOVING BEFORE POTENTIALLY ACCELERATING
LATER THIS EVENING. OVERALL HAIL MAGNITUDES HAVE LIKELY PEAKED, BUT
ANY SEMI-DISCRETE UPDRAFTS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
HAIL. THE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WIND THREAT IS LIKELY TO INCREASE,
ESPECIALLY AS EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EVOLVE INTO SMALL-SCALE BOWS.
..GRAMS.. 05/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 30869924 30909881 30839823 30759796 30439752 29919769
29729797 29669832 29699905 29749970 29870021 30110049
30370054 30580000 30869924
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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