870
ACUS11 KWNS 270955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270954
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-271130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1006
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST LA AND SOUTHERN MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 270954Z - 271130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING
WITH AN EASTWARD-ADVANCING LINE OF STORMS.
DISCUSSION...A LINE OF STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTH-CENTRAL LA WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY IS
OCCURRING WITHIN A MODESTLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND TRACKING ALONG
THE MLCAPE GRADIENT. ACROSS SOUTHEAST LA, DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER
70S F IS SUPPORTING STRONGER, SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. THIS MAY
FOSTER A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE GUSTS WHERE SURFACE-BASED
STORMS ARE MORE LIKELY. NEVERTHELESS, STRONG GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN MS AS THE WELL-ORGANIZED CONVECTION
CONTINUES EAST.
..LEITMAN/GLEASON.. 05/27/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 31639241 32169042 32208982 31818843 31018833 30328894
29729005 29499099 29499188 29559229 29779264 31189270
31639241
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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