342
FNUS21 KWNS 281642
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
VALID 281700Z - 291200Z
..RIO GRANDE VALLEY/CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
LITTLE CHANGE IN MID/UPPER-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES, RESIDUAL
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME OVER CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND SLIGHTLY
INCREASED DEWPOINTS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO ALONG WITH DAYTIME
HEATING, WILL SUPPORT A FEW HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
AREA OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WAS MAINTAINED ACROSS
WESTERN/CENTRAL NEW MEXICO, WITH A SLIGHT REDUCTION ON THE WESTERN
EXTENT OF THREAT AS A DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER PUSHES EASTWARD THROUGH
THE DAY.
..WILLIAMS.. 05/28/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0122 AM CDT WED MAY 28 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE CAN BE SEEN INCREASING ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
THIS MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NEW MEXICO. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS
INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS
EASTERN/CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS BETTER
MOISTURE, A FEW HIGH-BASED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS
WILL BE MAINLY TIED TO THE TERRAIN. STORM MOTIONS SHOULD BE QUITE
SLOW, BUT PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES <0.50" AND VERY DRY BOUNDARY
LAYER CONDITIONS SHOULD YIELD LITTLE TO NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION.
AN AREA OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM RISK WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS
OUTLOOK.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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