633
ACUS03 KWNS 281927
SWODY3
SPC AC 281926
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC...
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WITH WIND DAMAGE, LARGE HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST.
..MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST
PATTERN AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR FRIDAY AS ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PROGRESSES FROM THE MID-SOUTH TO THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC/MID-ATLANTIC
COAST, IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER WAVE DIGGING SOUTHWARD OVER THE GREAT
LAKES. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE WILL DEVELOP
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC LATE FRIDAY AND TO THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING, WHILE A TRAILING
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE GULF COAST, NORTH FL AND THE SOUTHEAST
ATLANTIC COAST. WITHIN CLOUD BREAKS THE WARM SECTOR WILL CONSIST OF
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES NEAR OR ABOVE 80 F AND BOUNDARY-LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S, WHICH WILL DRIVE MLCAPE OF 1000-2000+ J/KG AND
MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION BY EARLY-MID AFTERNOON. INCREASING
MIDLEVEL FLOW WITH TIME AND FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG AND JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT STORM INITIATION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
STORM CLUSTERS AND SOME SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. IF WAVE TIMING AND
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE, SOME PORTION OF THIS AREA
MAY WARRANT AN UPGRADE IN LATER UPDATES.
..THOMPSON.. 05/28/2025
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