747
ACUS11 KWNS 282059
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282058
TXZ000-282230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1027
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 343...
VALID 282058Z - 282230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 343
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A
PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL.
DISCUSSION...A FEW SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED IN CENTRAL TEXAS AND
HAVE RECENTLY STARTED TO TURN RIGHT. THE NORTH-EASTERNMOST STORM HAS
RECENTLY PRODUCED BASEBALL SIZED HAIL IN HAMILTON COUNTY, TEXAS. A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT PERSISTS SOUTH OF THIS ACTIVITY WHICH SHOULD
MAINTAIN THIS THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. EVENTUALLY, THESE STORMS MAY CONGEAL AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST
WHICH WOULD RESULT IN AN INCREASED SEVERE WIND THREAT. HOWEVER, IN
THE NEAR TERM, LARGE HAIL IS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
FARTHER SOUTHWEST CONVECTIVE ATTEMPTS CONTINUE BUT IT REMAINS
UNCLEAR WHETHER ADDITIONAL MATURE SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP. IF THEY
DO, A SIMILAR ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE
TO VERY LARGE HAIL, SIMILAR TO THE STORMS FARTHER EAST.
..BENTLEY.. 05/28/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 30339818 30399893 30609995 30950037 31450035 32529993
32789908 32469740 31019681 30449760 30339818
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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