036
FNUS22 KWNS 310532
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
..SYNOPSIS
WHILE THE STRONGEST UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL DEPART NORTHWARD,
TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTHWEST. THE UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE
NEAR BAJA WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE NORTHWEST
TROUGH. AS THIS OCCURS, A BOUNDARY SHOULD STALL IN THE NORTHERN
GREAT BASIN/NORTHERN ROCKIES. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN IN NORTHERN
NEVADA ALONG THIS BOUNDARY.
..NEVADA
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL EXIST IN NORTHWEST NEVADA ALONG THE LEE OF THE SIERRA.
THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ALONG WITH A BELT OF MODESTLY ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE 15-20 (LOCALLY UP TO 25) MPH WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. RH OF 10-15% APPEARS PROBABLE.
AN INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS IN SOUTHERN NEVADA CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED. WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW, AN INCREASE IN
MID/UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDS IS EXPECTED. HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SHOWS
AMPLE CLOUD COVER AND POTENTIAL FOR VIRGA. EVEN THE TYPICALLY
DRY-BIAS GUIDANCE SHOWS RH STRUGGLING TO FALL TO NEAR 20% MORE THAN
BRIEFLY. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY STILL OCCUR, PARTICULARLY
ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE MOISTURE/CLOUDS, BUT SUSTAINED
ELEVATED CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR PROBABLE AT THIS TIME.
LASTLY, THE INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT FROM THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY/TROUGH WILL LIKELY PROMOTE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
NORTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA. LOW-LEVELS WILL BE DRY ENOUGH THAT
SOME STORMS COULD BE ON THE DRY SIDE. HOWEVER, LESS RECEPTIVE FUELS
IN THESE AREAS AS WELL AS A FAIRLY RAPID INCREASE IN PW VALUES
SUGGESTS DRY THUNDERSTORM RISK IS LOW.
..WENDT.. 05/31/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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