395
FNUS21 KWNS 071652
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2025
VALID 071700Z - 081200Z
THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MONTANA AND FAR NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA IS
ON TRACK, WITH NO CHANGES NEEDED. AS OF 1630 UTC, SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE GUSTY POST-FRONTAL SURFACE WINDS ONGOING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20 MPH. ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON
AS MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL TO 20-25% AMIDST AT LEAST MARGINALLY
RECEPTIVE FUELS AND CONTINUED BREEZINESS. PLEASE SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TODAY'S FIRE WEATHER
FORECAST.
..ELLIOTT.. 06/07/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0154 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING WILL OVERSPREAD THE NORTH-CENTRAL TO EASTERN
CONUS TODAY, SUPPORTING THE NORTHWARD RETURN OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE,
AS WELL AS SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH
OF THE U.S. EAST OF THE ROCKIES. AS SUCH, WILDFIRE SPREAD CONCERNS
SHOULD BE LIMITED FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS. WHILE
OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
INTO THE GREAT BASIN, OVERALL FUEL RECEPTIVENESS AND STRENGTH OF THE
SURFACE WIND FIELDS APPEAR TOO MARGINAL FOR FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.
ONE AREA FOR SOME WILDFIRE-SPREAD POTENTIAL IS NORTHEAST MONTANA.
HERE, A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION, WITH
WIDESPREAD 25+ MPH SUSTAINED NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS LIKELY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SINCE RH MAY DIP TO 20 PERCENT WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED STRONG SURFACE WIND FIELD, AND GIVEN ERCS APPROACHING
THE 80TH PERCENTILE IN SPOTS, ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN
INTRODUCED FOR FAR NORTHEASTERN MONTANA.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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