744
ACUS48 KWNS 120835
SWOD48
SPC AC 120833
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 AM CDT THU JUN 12 2025
VALID 151200Z - 201200Z
..DISCUSSION
DURING THE SUNDAY/D4 TO MONDAY/D5 PERIOD, AN UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN OVER THE PLAINS, WITH MODEST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE
WEST. MODELS SUGGEST THAT AROUND TUESDAY/D6, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
BREAK DOWN OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS, ALTHOUGH THE AMPLITUDE
AND TRACK OF THE WAVE IS IN QUESTION. AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BE IN PLACE FROM THE PLAINS TO THE EAST COAST, WITH MID TO UPPER 60S
F AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES.
AS A RESULT OF THIS LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY, WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON EACH DAY. THE NORTHERN PLAINS
APPEARS TO HAVE THE GREATEST CHANGE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
INCLUDES MCS/S, BUT PREDICTABILITY IS CLEARLY LOW AT THIS TIME WITH
THE UNCERTAIN WAVE. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS THAT THE TUESDAY/D6 TO
WEDNESDAY/D7 TIME FRAME MAY YIELD A CORRIDOR OF ORGANIZED DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TO
MIDWEST, AND THESE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
..JEWELL.. 06/12/2025
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page