636
ACUS11 KWNS 230724
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230723
MNZ000-WIZ000-230900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1415
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 230723Z - 230900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND
MARGINAL HAIL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
MINNESOTA.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED STORMS HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER
ORGANIZED RECENTLY AS THE CLUSTERS MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG AN
INSTABILITY GRADIENT AND WITHIN MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL JET. REGIONAL 00Z RAOBS AND LATEST
SPC MESOANALYSIS INDICATED STEEP LAPSE RATES ARE PRESENT OVER THE
REGION DOWNSTREAM FROM THE ONGOING CLUSTER. SPORADIC STRONG GUSTS
AND ISOLATED MARGINAL HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER,
OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED/TRANSIENT AND
A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED, THOUGH TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.
..LEITMAN/MOSIER.. 06/23/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
LAT...LON 46679459 48299322 48419218 47949112 46539188 45849297
45619396 45589453 45949484 46679459
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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