838
ACUS11 KWNS 252252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252251
WIZ000-260015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1445
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 252251Z - 260015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY MATURE ALONG A WARM FRONT,
ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.
DISCUSSION...SMALL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED
ALONG A WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN, WHERE 1000-2000 J/KG
MLCAPE IS IN PLACE. THE LATEST MKX VAD DATA SHOWS A MODESTLY CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH AND OVER 400 M2/S2 OF 0-3KM SRH, WHICH SUGGESTS
THAT ANY SUPERCELL THAT CAN REMAIN SUSTAINED WILL HAVE A FAIR CHANCE
AT PRODUCING A TORNADO. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE
NEED OF A WATCH ISSUANCE.
..SQUITIERI/GUYER.. 06/25/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MKX...ARX...
LAT...LON 42708781 42568817 42628932 42729040 42999070 43429041
43529008 43408904 43338872 43158804 42708781
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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