283  
ACUS11 KWNS 261912  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 261911  
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-262115-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1457  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0211 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHERN TEXAS...WESTERN  
OKLAHOMA...INTO FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY  
 
VALID 261911Z - 262115Z  
 
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT  
 
SUMMARY...STORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE WIND POSSIBLE  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING ACROSS FAR WESTERN  
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WHERE DAYTIME HEATING HAS ALLOWED MLCIN TO  
ERODE. TEMPERATURES ARE NOW IN THE MID 80S TO MID 90S WITH DEW  
POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 70S. MLCAPE AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG IS  
NOTED IN SURFACE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. THOUGH THE BACKGROUND FLOW IS  
GENERALLY WEAK, STEEP LAPSE RATES AROUND 8-8.5 C/KM AND MOIST  
PROFILES WILL SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF STRONG TO  
SEVERE WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE LACK OF SHEAR FOR A  
MORE WIDESPREAD AND ORGANIZED THREAT, A WATCH IS UNLIKELY TO BE  
NEEDED.  
 
..THORNTON/HART.. 06/26/2025  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...  
 
LAT...LON 34530051 35969985 37069920 37199805 37139710 36859680  
36529672 36189673 35259736 34209807 34069885 34260004  
34530051  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH  
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