131
ACUS11 KWNS 262156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262155
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-262330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1462
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA...THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND EASTERN TENNESSEE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 262155Z - 262330Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ONGOING CLUSTERS OF MULTI-CELL STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE AN ISOLATED RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL INTO
THIS EVENING. A LOCALLY GREATER RISK MAY OCCUR ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL
GA WHERE STRONGER STORMS ARE OCCURRING.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 2145 UTC, REGIONAL RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTI-CELLS ONGOING FROM NORTHERN
GA, THROUGH THE WESTERN CAROLINAS, AND INTO FAR EASTERN TN. OVER THE
LAST SEVERAL HOURS, REPORTS OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SMALL HAIL
HAVE OCCURRED AS THESE CLUSTERS HAVE SHIFTED WEST/SOUTHWEST WITHIN A
BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO LARGE BUOYANCY (MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/KG).
THIS TREND APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING AS NEW
UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION CONTINUES ON THE FLANKS OF THESE
ESTABLISHED STORM CLUSTERS.
A LOCALLY GREATER SEVERE RISK MAY DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF THE ATLANTA
METRO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS A STRONGER MULTI-CELL CLUSTER
HAS EMERGED. SEVERAL DOWNBURSTS HAVE BEEN NOTED WITHIN THIS CLUSTER
AS MULTIPLE STRONG UPDRAFTS HAVE COALESCED. WHILE DEEP-LAYER FLOW
REMAINS LIMITED, VERY LARGE BUOYANCY AND STRONG SURGING OUTFLOW
COULD SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE-CALIBER GUSTS IN THE 55-65 MPH RANGE
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
..LYONS/GUYER.. 06/26/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...
LAT...LON 33608548 34748476 35728388 36258179 36098089 35498036
34658149 33478354 33048476 33128516 33608548
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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