079
ACUS11 KWNS 271908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271907
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-272100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1470
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0207 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN OK...FAR NORTH TX/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHEAST AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 271907Z - 272100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SPORADIC MICROBURSTS, CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE GUSTS FROM 45-60 MPH, ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH SLOW-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION...DIFFERENTIAL BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING DOWNSTREAM OF AN
MCV DRIFTING EAST OVER WEST-CENTRAL OK HAS AIDED IN INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM A PORTION OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY
TOWARDS THE OZARKS. AMPLE BUOYANCY CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE AROUND
2500 J/KG IS LIKELY PRESENT IN A CONVECTIVELY UNDISTURBED CORRIDOR
OF EASTERN OK. WITH WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES YIELDING MINIMAL
CAPPING, SCATTERED STORM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS WEAK PER AREA VWP DATA AND THIS
SHOULD LIMIT ORGANIZATION POTENTIAL BEYOND PULSE-TYPE WET
MICROBURSTS.
..GRAMS/HART.. 06/27/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 35349680 36109644 36659538 36649401 35859411 35169476
34009648 33519728 33499778 33559898 33829893 34759715
35349680
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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