972
ACUS11 KWNS 271925
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271925
MTZ000-272130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1472
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TO EASTERN MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 271925Z - 272130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SPORADIC SEVERE GUSTS AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST FROM CENTRAL TO EASTERN MONTANA
INTO EARLY EVENING. LACK OF GREATER ORGANIZATION/INTENSITY SHOULD
PRECLUDE SEVERE-STORM WATCH ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...A MINOR PERTURBATION EMBEDDED WITHIN A MODERATE
WESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME HAS AIDED IN GRADUALLY INCREASING
CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL MT. MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN MT HAS ONLY
SCANT TO MEAGER BUOYANCY PER 18Z TFX SOUNDING AND 19Z MESOANALYSIS,
WITH MID 50S OR GREATER SURFACE DEW POINTS CONFINED TO THE FAR
EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE. STILL, TYPICAL INVERTED-V
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES IN CONJUNCTION WITH MODERATE MID-LEVEL
WESTERLIES SHOULD AID IN EASTERLY PROGRESSIVE STORMS WITH A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS.
..GRAMS/HART.. 06/27/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...
LAT...LON 46441107 47561102 47831063 47840823 47820611 47330541
46410584 45770853 45960995 46441107
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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