332
ACUS11 KWNS 280338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280338
NDZ000-280445-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1484
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1038 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 468...
VALID 280338Z - 280445Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 468 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE THROUGH 04-05Z.
DISCUSSION...AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WITH THE EVENING
TRANSITION, COMBINED WITH BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S,
IS HELPING OFFSET THE INFLUENCE OF NEAR-GROUND STABILIZATION. THE
SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MORE
LEFTWARD/INFLOW DOMINANT TORNADO MOTIONS WITH MESOCYCLONE
OCCLUSIONS. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES THROUGH 04-05Z.
..THOMPSON.. 06/28/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
LAT...LON 46090012 46440059 46930084 47160046 47169944 46989919
46119927 46090012
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN
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