269
ACUS11 KWNS 300604
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300604
OKZ000-300830-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1519
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 300604Z - 300830Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
LOCALIZED, AND WEATHER WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST HI-RESOLUTION RADAR DATA FROM OKLAHOMA CITY
SHOWS A SHORT LINE SEGMENT, WITH SEVERE WIND GUSTS IN NORTH-CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. THIS LINE IS MOVING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A
POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY INTO AN AREA WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
ARE NEAR 70 F. THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME SUPPORT ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY, FROM A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE
OZARKS INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LINE MOVES SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST
WIND-DAMAGE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION THAT IS CURRENTLY DRAPED
ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
..BROYLES/SMITH.. 06/30/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 34869717 34749775 34879831 35439851 35719847 35949840
36139810 36209770 36139729 35949704 35419695 34869717
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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