216
ACUS11 KWNS 301736
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301735
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-301900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1524
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN/WESTERN
ARKANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 301735Z - 301900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
ALONG WITH SOME SEVERE HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A REMNANT WEST-EAST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
CLEAR SKIES AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING AMID A RICH LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT HAS LED TO RAPID DESTABILIZATION, WITH MLCAPE
VALUES APPROACH 2500 J/KG. WEAK FLOW ALOFT SHOULD LIMIT STORM
ORGANIZATION, BUT SOME CLUSTERING OF STORMS MAY OCCUR WITH TIME
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ALONG/NEAR THE BOUNDARY. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT, ALONG WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL WITH THE
STRONGEST CELLS.
..KARSTENS/HART.. 06/30/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 34669677 35309540 35749409 36289308 36329221 35639183
34849221 34149319 33869481 33999630 34309672 34669677
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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