964
ACUS11 KWNS 012050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012049
MAZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-012215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1535
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 PM CDT TUE JUL 01 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 012049Z - 012215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...LOCALIZED STRONG GUSTS PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
SHOULD PERSIST AS STORMS SPREAD EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
THROUGH SUNSET.
DISCUSSION...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE BROAD CONVECTIVE SWATH
ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES HAS YIELDED LOCALIZED STRONG GUSTS AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS, WITH MAINLY SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS EARLIER.
CONVECTION HAS MORE RECENTLY CONSOLIDATED INTO CLUSTERS AND SHORT
LINEAR SEGMENTS ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER
CELLS WHICH EXITED THE MOHAWK VALLEY MAY MERGE WITH THIS SLOW-MOVING
LEADING CONVECTION AND SHOULD SUPPORT PERSISTENCE OF SPORADIC STRONG
GUSTS EASTWARD. THESE WILL BE FAVORED WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES
REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S PRIOR TO SUNSET.
..GRAMS/MOSIER.. 07/01/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...
LAT...LON 41697382 42257310 42547278 42467179 42437107 42257083
41857092 41557135 41397203 41277295 41057362 41127408
41347417 41697382
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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