271
ACUS48 KWNS 050848
SWOD48
SPC AC 050846
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CDT SAT JUL 05 2025
VALID 081200Z - 131200Z
..DISCUSSION
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN IN PLACE
THIS UPCOMING WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. RELATIVELY ZONAL MID-LEVEL
FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN CONUS THROUGH THE EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED IMPULSES EXPECTED TO TRACK
EASTWARD WITHIN THE ZONAL FLOW. AS THE MID-LEVEL IMPULSES TRAVERSE
THE NORTHERN PLAINS, ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF AMPLE BUOYANCY. HOWEVER,
THERE ARE APPRECIABLE DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF
THESE IMPULSES AMONG MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE MEMBERS. THEREFORE,
SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN WITHHELD SINCE CONFIDENCE IS
CURRENTLY LOW REGARDING WHERE AND WHEN ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF SEVERE
STORMS WILL DEVELOP.
..SQUITIERI.. 07/05/2025
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page