059
ACUS11 KWNS 070000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070000 COR
COZ000-070100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0700 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...
VALID 070000Z - 070100Z
CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC DESCRIPTION
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG AND
EAST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR IN COLORADO -- WITHIN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 489. A LOCAL SOUTHWARD EXTENSION OF THE WATCH MAY BE
WARRANTED.
DISCUSSION...A COUPLE ORGANIZED CLUSTERS/SUPERCELLS ARE TRACKING
SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR IN CO, WITH
A RECENT REPORT OF 2-INCH HAIL. VWP AND MESOANALYSIS DATA SHOW A
LONG/STRAIGHT HODOGRAPH (AROUND 40 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR), WHICH
COMBINED WITH STEEP DEEP-LAYER LAPSE RATES, SHOULD SUPPORT THE
MAINTENANCE OF THESE STORMS WITH SOUTHEASTWARD EXTENT. LARGE HAIL
AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THE SOUTHERN SUPERCELL TRACKS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489, AND A LOCAL EXTENSION OF THE WATCH MAY BE
WARRANTED HERE.
..WEINMAN.. 07/07/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38460497 38860498 39220467 39490406 39490359 39300316
38920299 38520308 38190360 38110419 38180468 38460497
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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