604
ACUS11 KWNS 070429
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070429
SDZ000-WYZ000-070630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1587
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CDT SUN JUL 06 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491...
VALID 070429Z - 070630Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS WW491. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN.
DISCUSSION...A VERY WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPEARS TO HAVE CRESTED
THE RIDGE AND IS DIGGING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
LATE THIS EVENING. SCATTERED ROBUST CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY
COALESCED INTO A LINEAR MCS WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM
NORTHWESTERN KS INTO EXTREME EASTERN CO. A NARROW AXIS OF MODEST
INSTABILITY IS NOTED ACROSS SOUTHWEST KS, ALONG AND NORTH OF A
BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHES ACROSS THE OK PANHANDLE INTO FAR SOUTHEAST
CO. THIS BOUNDARY IS BEING REINFORCED A BIT BY SCATTERED CONVECTION
ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER INTO NORTHWEST OK. NET RESULT WILL LIKELY BE
FOR THE ONGOING MCS TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEAST, AIDED IN PART BY
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. 56KT GUST WAS REPORTED AT GLD WITH
THE SQUALL LINE, AND THIS TYPE OF WIND MAY CONTINUE TO BE REPORTED
AS THE MCS PROPAGATES TOWARD SOUTHWESTERN KS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.
..DARROW.. 07/07/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...UNR...
LAT...LON 44260440 44390275 44840139 43240152 43580439 44260440
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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