687
ACUS11 KWNS 161741
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161740
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-161945-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1685
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OH INTO FAR NORTHERN KY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 161740Z - 161945Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...INCREASING THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OHIO AND FAR NORTHERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OH AND FAR NORTHERN KY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
THE WELL-DEFINED MCV CURRENTLY OVER FAR SOUTHEAST IN PROGRESSES
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MOIST AND DESTABILIZING DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS.
DEEP-LAYER FLOW ACROSS THE REGION IS MODEST, RESULTING IN A
PREDOMINANTLY MULTICELLULAR STORM MODE. HOWEVER, SOME ENHANCED
LOW/MID-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL ACCOMPANY THE MCV, WHICH COULD
CONTRIBUTE TO A FEW LOOSELY ORGANIZED, NORTHEASTWARD-PROGRESSING
CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS. LIMITED SEVERE COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR WATCH.
..MOSIER/SMITH.. 07/16/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...
LAT...LON 40048474 40848401 41008225 40288168 38668224 38128386
38938467 40048474
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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