565
FNUS22 KWNS 161931
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2025
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
MONSOON MOISTURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND UPPER-COLORADO RIVER
BASIN WILL REMAIN LARGELY ELEVATED AT MID-LEVELS WITH A SUFFICIENTLY
DRY SUB CLOUD LAYER TO FACILITATE EVAPORATION AND SUBSEQUENT MINIMAL
SURFACE RAINFALL FROM HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
LIGHTNING IGNITION POTENTIAL IS LOWER ACROSS ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO
WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE PROFILES WILL PROMOTE MORE WETTING RAIN CORES.
..WILLIAMS.. 07/16/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0142 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON D2/THURSDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WITH A
CUT OFF LOW OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS MOISTURE AIDED BY
UPPER-LEVEL FORCING WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ACROSS MUCH OF ARIZONA INTO SOUTHERN UTAH WITH INCREASING CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAINFALL. ON THE FRINGES OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE PLUME,
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN COLORADO INTO UTAH, EASTERN NEVADA, SOUTHERN IDAHO, AND
SOUTHWESTERN WYOMING. AS SUCH, A BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS OUTLOOK.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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