734
ACUS11 KWNS 192251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192250
VAZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-200015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1727
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0550 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTH-CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 526...
VALID 192250Z - 200015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 526
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING, POSING A RISK FOR
STRONG/ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...A COUPLE CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE
GENERALLY EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
WATCH AREA AT OF 2250Z. MODERATE INSTABILITY (MLCAPE 2000-LOCALLY
2500 J/KG) AND AROUND 25 KTS OF WESTERLY SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT A LOOSELY-ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTER STORM MODE, WITH
ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS. A NORTHWARD
LIFTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN BETWEEN THE JAMES RIVER AND MIDDLE
PENINSULA MAY SERVE TO CONCENTRATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A LONGER-LIVED
CLUSTER OF STORMS IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS.
..BUNTING.. 07/19/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...
LAT...LON 36297556 36127758 36237817 36427859 37327855 37937809
38217783 38447751 38367690 38287640 38127612 37767581
37087593 36297556
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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